Prime-time Parlay: FPI predictions for the biggest games of NFL Week 13

Doug Pederson and Jay Gruden will match wits in a critical NFC East battle on Monday night. Eric Hartline/USA TODAY Sports

December begins without a successful Prime-time Parlay having been achieved. If the words "I'm due!" have ever crossed your lips, you will continue to be paying close attention to our little conceit here.

Once again, Prime-time Parlay is all about the best games: Thursday, Sunday and Monday's prime-time games and the top 1 p.m. ET and 4 p.m. ET Sunday matchups. Straight-up picks, but you have to hit all seven. Then we calculate how much you would earn for the parlay, using Westgate's money lines.

Via ESPN's Football Power Index, Prime-time Parlay tells you the analytics-based predictions for the meetings of greatest national import, offering the smart picks for the games you'll be watching. (All NFL point spreads and money lines can be found here).

Total payout for Week 13 Prime-time Parlay (selecting all FPI-projected winners in seven games): $587.31 on $100 wager

New Orleans Saints at Dallas Cowboys (8:20 p.m. ET Thursday, Fox/NFL Network)

Money line: Saints -400
FPI projection: Saints win by 4.1 points

We think the Saints are the best team in the NFL. Just how large is the margin between New Orleans and the NFL's worst team, Arizona? We think the Saints would be more than a 21-point favorite on a neutral field over the Cardinals. Of course, the Saints don't play Arizona this week, but the point is that there is only a handful of teams the Saints wouldn't be favored over on the road. And Dallas certainly isn't one of them. -- Seth Walder

Baltimore Ravens at Atlanta Falcons (1 p.m. ET Sunday, CBS)

Money line: Falcons -115
FPI projection: Falcons win by 2.2 points

Lamar Jackson has led the Ravens to wins in the past two weeks as the starting quarterback, but his 32.2 QBR should be a cause for concern. Baltimore has a feisty defense and shines on special teams, but that offense holds it back. At home, Atlanta has the edge. -- Seth Walder

Minnesota Vikings at New England Patriots (4:25 p.m. ET Sunday, Fox)

Money line: Patriots -250
FPI projection: Patriots win by 6.1 points

The Patriots haven't been stellar in their past two games -- losing at Tennessee and holding off the Jets -- but the FPI isn't going to move far off its spot on them. After all, do you want to bet against Tom Brady at home? -- Seth Walder

Los Angeles Chargers at Pittsburgh Steelers (8:20 p.m. ET Sunday, NBC)

Money line: Steelers -185
FPI projection: Steelers win by 3.0 points

Philip Rivers and the Chargers' offense have been great this season, and far more reliable than Pittsburgh's. But overcoming a cross-country trip may be too much to ask of them in this intriguing AFC showdown. -- Seth Walder

Washington Redskins at Philadelphia Eagles (8:15 p.m. ET Monday, ESPN)

Money line: Eagles -275
FPI projection: Eagles win by 6.2 points

The FPI never believed in the Redskins, despite leading the NFC East, and believes in them even less with Colt McCoy starting at quarterback. Washington's 6-5 record is misleading -- this team is far worse than that. -- Seth Walder

Final Parlay: Saints, Falcons, Patriots, Steelers, Eagles

For more from ESPN Analytics, visit the ESPN Analytics Index.