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Fantasy football insights with Watson for Week 14

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Berry confident in Jeffery vs. Giants (0:52)

Matthew Berry knows that Alshon Jeffery is Carson Wentz's No. 1 target (with 16 in Week 13) and has confidence with Jeffery on his fantasy roster. (0:52)

For those who are looking for a tool to concentrate various web opinions into one location in order to help make roster moves, IBM offers Watson's Insights as an unsupervised, quantitative supplement to the more in-depth, personalized analysis that you would normally expect from an ESPN analyst.

IBM Insights uses Watson AI to analyze thousands of fantasy articles, blogs, websites and podcasts and provide support data to assist with fantasy football decisions. Watson outputs an estimated scoring range for each player, as well as projects the chances that a player will exceed the upside estimate (e.g. "boom") or fall short of the low-end estimate (e.g. "bust") on any given week.

The following article points out a few notable insights from Watson for Week 14 of the 2019 NFL season, as of early Friday afternoon.

Quarterback decisions

While quarterbacks can provide some of the best fantasy value in a given week, it can be difficult to decide beforehand which one to start. This is the first week of the fantasy football playoffs for many of you, so deciding on a starting quarterback is a big decision. IBM Insights provides information that can help make these decisions easier.

Projections higher than rank

Carson Wentz, Philadelphia Eagles vs. New York Giants

  • Weekly rank 96, 13th among QBs

  • High projection: 26.4 fantasy points

  • Low projection: 10.1 fantasy points

  • Boom chance: 0.23

  • Bust chance: 0.20

Wentz has the Monday night game, against a division rival, with a chance to lead his team to a share of first place in the division. The stakes are high and the opponent's pass defense is terrible, with the Giants allowing the ninth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Watson's Insight: Insights has Wentz as a potential QB1 this week as a in a big game against a weak passing defense.

Kirk Cousins, Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions

  • Weekly rank 129, 14th among QBs

  • High projection: 26.2 fantasy points

  • Low projection: 10.4 fantasy points

  • Boom chance: 0.19

  • Bust chance: 0.20

Despite the criticism that Cousins often takes, he has put up some strong numbers this season. Cousins has averaged 287.1 yards, 2.5 touchdowns and only 0.3 interceptions during his previous eight games. On Sunday, he faces a Lions defense that has allowed the eighth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Watson's Insight: Cousins has been consistently putting big numbers on the board, and Insights identifies him as a possible QB1 this week against a Lions defense that is struggling to the finish line of the season.

Most likely to go boom/Least likely to bust

Jacoby Brissett, Indianapolis Colts at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Weekly rank 149, 18th among QBs

  • High projection: 25.7 fantasy points

  • Low projection: 10.0 fantasy points

  • Boom chance: 0.24

  • Bust chance: 0.11

Brissett is coming off his first 300-yard passing game and only his second passing touchdown since Week 7, a good sign as he prepares to face a Buccaneers pass defense that has allowed the fifth-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season.

Watson's Insight: Brissett has been leading a primarily running offense, but Watson identifies him with the upside to produce QB2 numbers against a weak Buccaneers pass defense.

Derek Carr, Oakland Raiders vs. Tennessee Titans

  • Weekly rank 166, 20th among QBs

  • High projection: 21.1 fantasy points

  • Low projection: 9.3 fantasy points

  • Boom chance: 0.18

  • Bust chance: 0.08

Carr is coming off his worst two-game stretch of the season statistically, the only two consecutive games in which he totaled more interceptions than touchdowns or averaged fewer than 200 yards passing. However, he had averaged 254.6 passing yards, 1.6 touchdowns and 0.4 interceptions in the eight games prior and looks to bounce back this week against a middle-of-the-road Titans pass defense.

Watson's Insight: Insights gives Carr a decent chance to bounce back to QB2 numbers this week, breaking a two-game slump and getting back to his usual level against the Titans.