The Crimson Tide are no longer in the CFP rankings' top four. Their fate now is in the hands of others, including the selection committee.
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Here's what the College Football Playoff and New Year's Six bowl games would look like based on Tuesday's rankings.
- LSU atop CFP; Georgia beats out Bama for No. 4
- Ohio State leads CFP top four of LSU, Bama, PSU
- Clemson DE Thomas to miss third straight game
- Clemson DB won't face more discipline for punch
Alabama finds itself on the outside looking in for only the fifth time in the CFP era.
There's no question now: LSU is the class of the SEC after going to Alabama and beating the Crimson Tide.
A memorable performance in a win against Bama (and Chase Young's absence vs. Maryland) helps put the Tigers' star QB in the driver's seat for the award.
Here are the coaches to keep an eye on, including Power 5, Group of 5, coordinators and former head coaches who could make a return.
Here's what the Allstate Playoff Predictor has to say about the CFP chase after 11 weeks of action.
Paul Sabin ESPN Analytics
This week's Allstate Playoff Predictor CFP rankings projection (Pct top 4): 1. Ohio State (99) 2. LSU (99) 3. Clemson (98) 4. Penn State (25) 5. Alabama (4) 6. Oregon (13) 7. Minnesota (25) 8. Baylor (33) 9. Georgia (2) 10. Auburn (1)
There are still many big games left on the schedule, but see how our experts envision the entire bowl season playing out.
The Tigers scored 46 points against Alabama's defense, P.J. Fleck and Minnesota upset Penn State, and a wild Saturday of college football turned normal realities upside down.
Could this really be the first College Football Playoff without the Crimson Tide? And how high can No. 17 Minnesota climb after beating Penn State?
Seth Walder ESPN Analytics
LSU ranks first in Strength of Record and it isn't close. An average top-25 team would have had just a 1% chance to be undefeated thus far against LSU's schedule. Meanwhile that seem team would have had a 16% chance to go undefeated vs. Ohio State's schedule, the next best. Among the undefeateds, Clemson had it easiest: an average top 25 team would have had a 29% chance to be 10-0 at this point against the Tigers' schedule.
Seth Walder ESPN Analytics
Not only is Alabama very much still alive, but it has the fourth-best chance to reach the CFP and win the national championship, according to the Allstate Playoff Predictor.
The Tigers and Buckeyes could be the nation's best two teams, but Clemson showed it also belongs in the mix.
ESPN reporters make their picks for the College Football Playoff after a wild Week 11 schedule.
Trevor Lawrence threw for two scores and ran for another in a dominating first quarter for fourth-ranked Clemson, which beat North Carolina State 55-10 on Saturday night to clinch a trip to Atlantic Coast Conference championship game.