In what is a positive omen for Hawthorn fans, their team has won twice previously in finals at similar odds to tomorrow's match. In the 2001 semi-final against Port Adelaide and the famous 2008 grand final triumph over Geelong the Cats were installed as $3.25 outsiders.
Both teams enter the match in supreme form having notched up six consecutive wins to end the season and while Richmond's record at the MCG is daunting, it will not frighten Alastair Clarkson's side who has won seven from nine matches at the home of football this season.
Geelong has won 15 finals since the last time that Melbourne tasted success in September. Despite being the $2.10 outsiders with TAB, punters are tipping the Cats' experience in big matches to get them across the line against the Demons on Friday night.
The majority of money has been with Geelong, though it is only a 55-45 percent split.
The Magpies have only beaten one finalist in eight attempts this season and that was a Melbourne side who themselves hadn't beaten a top eight team until the penultimate round of the season.
The Collingwood ruckman has notched this treble in four of the last 14 matches he's played.
The Giants are likely to welcome back Zac Williams, Toby Greene, Brett Deledio and Ryan Griffen and should be a far stronger side than the one that took them on at Spotless Stadium in Round 22.
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